Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.006388 0.007152 0.007984 0.008958 0.010070 0.011304 0.012780
2025-02-16 0.005194 0.006244 0.007484 0.009064 0.011037 0.013437 0.016602
2025-02-23 0.004437 0.005584 0.007011 0.008935 0.011487 0.014793 0.019460
2025-03-02 0.003999 0.005224 0.006815 0.009061 0.012196 0.016482 0.022902
2025-03-09 0.003599 0.004848 0.006531 0.009001 0.012601 0.017757 0.025889
2025-03-16 0.003178 0.004392 0.006077 0.008634 0.012497 0.018254 0.027751
2025-03-23 0.002923 0.004138 0.005873 0.008589 0.012840 0.019424 0.030772
2025-03-30 0.002821 0.004091 0.005957 0.008972 0.013864 0.021748 0.035978
2025-04-06 0.002568 0.003795 0.005639 0.008693 0.013794 0.022283 0.038186
2025-04-13 0.002358 0.003546 0.005369 0.008462 0.013767 0.022870 0.040545
2025-04-20 0.002220 0.003398 0.005243 0.008449 0.014102 0.024109 0.044271
2025-04-27 0.002156 0.003362 0.005292 0.008729 0.014971 0.026395 0.050351
2025-05-04 0.002019 0.003200 0.005130 0.008646 0.015204 0.027585 0.054535
2025-05-11 0.001922 0.003098 0.005061 0.008723 0.015749 0.029452 0.060494
2025-05-18 0.001801 0.002947 0.004893 0.008602 0.015893 0.030531 0.064892
2025-05-25 0.001730 0.002876 0.004859 0.008722 0.016523 0.032681 0.072113
2025-06-01 0.001639 0.002762 0.004738 0.008665 0.016784 0.034079 0.077798
2025-06-08 0.001513 0.002578 0.004478 0.008313 0.016394 0.034004 0.079815
2025-06-15 0.001440 0.002486 0.004379 0.008270 0.016654 0.035418 0.085914
2025-06-22 0.001426 0.002498 0.004477 0.008637 0.017845 0.039141 0.098918
2025-06-29 0.001334 0.002361 0.004279 0.008370 0.017591 0.039385 0.102322
2025-07-06 0.001254 0.002242 0.004109 0.008148 0.017416 0.039803 0.106315
2025-07-13 0.001204 0.002176 0.004039 0.008136 0.017729 0.041488 0.114433